Ukubikezela kwedola ku-ruble ngoMashi 2020: Ithebula, Amandla, Ibhange Elikhulu LaseRussia Federation, Sberbank

Anonim

NgoFebhuwari wethule isimanga esingathandeki ngemali yaseRussia - ngasekupheleni kwenyanga, uhlelo lwezifundo zedola elihlobene ne-ruble ligijimele phezulu, okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngoSepthemba 2019, "ngokusebenzisa" umaki Amayunithi angama-67 . Kodwa-ke, akunakushiwo ukuthi ukubikezela kwalabo ochwepheshe bezezimali, obubikezele ngenkani ukuthi ukuwa okungazelelwe kwaqinisekiswa: izizathu "eziqongweni eziphakeme" ze-ruble zazingabonakali nakancane izici, kepha isici esinethonya lakhe lokubikezela Inyanga edlule kungenzeka ukuthi akekho, izimakethe zezimali zomhlaba wonke "zaletha" ubhubhane lweCoronavirus.

Mayelana nokuthi babona kanjani isibikezelo sedola laseMelika maqondana ne-ruble ngo-Mashi Ezezimali Ochwepheshe bazoqhubeka nokuthi ama-Dynamics alungile eRussia ngenyanga yokuqala yasentwasahlobo noma itafula lemali lizovela, lizosho izinto ezingama-24cm .

Slayida phansi

Izikhungo eziningi zezomnotho, phakathi kwazo ezibikezelwe zezezimali ze-aprecon, zithambekele ekucabangeni ukuthi ngoMashi, i-ruble izoqhubeka nokudlula izikhundla. Kodwa-ke, abahlaziyi baqinisekisa ukuthi akumele babe khona abahlaziyi abasevele benzekile ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari, akufanele kulindeleke - ukuqiniswa kwedola kuzoba nomkhuba obushelelezi, futhi ngasekupheleni kwenyanga isheduli laseMelika Imali izoqiniswa "ophahleni" Ama-ruble angama-70 ngeyunithi ngayinye . Yize lesi simo singafakwanga lapho ubuthakathaka be-Devnaunations yaseRussia "buyeba" endaweni Ama-ruble angama-68-69 ngedola ngalinye. Ukumelwa okuholayo kwe-FiFisPerspert yenkampani yeBritish Investment FXPRO eRussia Alexander Kuzckevich futhi kuvunyelwene neziphetho ukuthi "i-Evergreen" izoqhubeka iqiniswe kancane kancane.

Isibikezelo sedola ngoMashi

Isimo sezulu esinjalo sezinga ledola ngoMashi 2020, abasekeli bokukhula kwemali baseMelika bachaza ngemuva kokusakaza ubhubhane oluphambili olungadlula eChina olubandakanya ukutshala imali ezinkampanini zaseRussia, Okuningi, ngokumelwa kwabo, ezinzile. Abahlaziyi bokugcina bathambekele ukubala igolide ne-reservation yemali.

Iphuzu lokulingana

Kodwa-ke, akuyena wonke umuntu okholelwa ukuthi ukuncipha okwengeziwe kwe-ruble akunakugwenywa, naphezu kokuphuma okulindelekile kokutshalwa kwemali, kanye nokwehliswa okuthe xaxa kumanani kawoyela, asevele ekwazile "onqenqemeni ngoFebhuwari ogcina $ 50 umgqomo ngamunye . Emnyangweni wenkampani ohlangothini "ukuvula i-broker", kwaholela eqinisweni lokuthi iyunithi lezezimali laseRussia emasontweni azayo lizonikala futhi ezingeni I-66-67 Kwa-American Dollar, ngeziqongo ngezikhathi ezithile, zombili ezihle nezingalungile, ohlelweni lwezifundo.

Ukuphuma eCorkscrew

Ngombono onjalo, ngiyavuma kuNdunankulu we-BCS kanye ne-MTS Bank, ochwepheshe abanethemba lokuthi ukulahleka kwamabhizinisi aseRussia ezimakethe zezimali kuzogcina ukulinganisela, okuzoqeda ukuthuthuka kwesimo senhlekelele. Isibonelo, ngokumelene nesizinda sokwethuka okubukhali kwamabhange amancane naphakathi nendawo, izimpahla zeSberbank ziqiniswa kakhulu futhi zikhula ngesibalo sezikhungo ezithembekile ezisekelwa umbuso.

Isibikezelo sedola ngoMashi

Umphumela wokuthi "ukulinganisela" okunjalo futhi uzoba umphumela we- "FADING" wenkambo ye-ruble endaweni yamanje ethi "Photo of Equilibrium", elandelwa ukucasuka kwezikhundla ezilahlekile. Yebo, neCoronavirus, indawo yakhe eseshintshile emkhakheni wase-Asia iye e-European, maduze nje izokhipha i-pendulum "ngakolunye uhlangothi, okuholela ekunciphiseni kwe-euro okuphathelene ne-ruble, okuthinta amandla ashubile aseRussia, imali maqondana nebhange lase-US. Kodwa-ke, lokhu kuzodinga isikhathi - ngokuya ngochwepheshe, kusukela ezinyangeni ezi-3 kuya ezinyangeni eziyisithupha.

Irabha ayidingeki!

Kepha ukuvota kochwepheshe abazimele okwenziwa yi-Refinitiv Agency kusho ukuthi isikhathi eside 'sokuhlala emgodini "we-Russian Natvalyuta akudingeki - isifundo sizobuyela kuMarku ngaphakathi Ama-ruble angama-62-63 "Umongameli oluhlaza" ngenyanga yokuqala yentwasahlobo. Lokhu kuzobe kuvulekelwa hhayi kuphela ukuhambisa ukugxila ekwandeni kwe-coronavirus, kodwa futhi nomhlangano weBhodi yabaqondisi bebhange eliphakathi leRussia Federation, elihlelelwe okwesithathu okulandelayo inani lasebhange lekota eseduze. Abahlaziyi bayazethemba ukuthi ukuncishiswa okuqhubekayo kuzolandelwa, okuzothinta kahle imakethe yemalimboleko yemalimboleko ye-Federal futhi kuzobuyisa inzalo ekuvikelekeni kweRussia ngabatshalizimali.

Isibikezelo sedola ngoMashi

UVladimir Pepemakin, ophendula e-SMP Bank "ngokuhlelela amasu, asekela lesi sikhundla. Ukuphawula ukuthi ukuthuthukiswa okungalungile kwesimo uma kwenzeka imisebenzi ethuphayo engalindelekile akumelwe ngaphandle, uchwepheshe awukuphiki ukuthi ngoMashi i-ruble asazokwazi ukubuyisa izikhundla zangaphambili, ezinomthelela eMarthv Amazwe we-OPEC, inhloso yokuthi kuzoba nokuzinza kwezinga lentengo emafutheni. Ukwanda kwezingcaphuno zamafutha kuzoba nomthelela omuhle kuma-Dynamics wokukhula kwemali yaseRussia.

I-Owl Rubble: Izindaba zakamuva

NgoMashi 9, 2020, isilinganiso se-ruble sahlela kakhulu ngaphambi kophawu lwerekhodi. Abahlaziyi baphawule ukuthi imali yaseRussia yaqala kakhulu okokuqala eminyakeni emi-4 edlule. Emini, usuku lweholide lwangempelasonto, ngoMashi 9, izinga ledola selidlulile uphawu lwama-ruble angama-74,8, kanye nama-ruble angama-85. Intengo kawoyela okopentiwe yehle cishe ngama-30% futhi ifinyelele uphawu lwama- $ 31.38 nge-barrel ngayinye, kanye ne-WTI- $ 27.9 yawa emafutheni e-WTI.

Ukuwa kwe-ruble kwenzeka ngemuva kwezingxoxo ezingaphumelelanga zamazwe we-OPEC, lapho amalungu enhlangano azame ukudingida neRussia ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa kawoyela.

Ochwepheshe bahlaziye isimo samanje futhi bakholelwa ukuthi ukuwa kwesilinganiso sokushintshana kwe-ruble kuzoqhubeka ngenxa yokwenqatshwa kwesivumelwano ne-OPEC +, ubhubhane lokutheleleka kwama-coronavirus kanye nasenhlizweni. Ngokusho kochwepheshe, kungenzeka ukwandisa amanani ezimoto, okokugqoka kanye nemishini yasendlini.

USihlalo woHulumeni waseRussia Federation, uMikhail Mishastin uphawula ukuthi isimo ngokuwa kwe-ruble silawulwa. Uveze ukuthi izinyathelo zithathwa ukuqinisa ukupenda kwezezimali, futhi isabelomali esinqwabelene sizovumela izwe eminye iminyaka embalwa ukufeza izibopho zalo.

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