Iteganyagihe ryamadorari kuri Ruble muri 2020: Imbonerahamwe, imbaraga, Banki Nkuru ya Federasiyo y'Uburusiya, Sberbank

Anonim

Gashyantare yerekanye igitangaza kidashimishije ku ifaranga ry'Uburusiya - Mu mpera z'ukwezi, Gahunda y'amasomo y'amadolari mwene Ruble yihutiye kuzimbuka hejuru, "binyuze kuri" Mark Ibice 67 . Ariko, ntibishobora kuvugwa ko abateganya iyo mpuguke mu bijyanye n'impuguke mu bijyanye n'impuguke, binangiye gusenyuka gutunguranye kwemezwa: impamvu zitera "impinga zohana" zitagira ingano zagaragaye, ariko ikintu cyatewe no guhanura ukwezi gushize birashoboka ko atariyo, amasoko yimari yisi yose "yatanze" icyorezo cya coronavirus.

Ku buryo babona ibyahanuwe by'amadolari y'Amerika bijyanye na Ruble ku mpuguke z'amafaranga bazakomeza kuba mu Burusiya mu kwezi kwa mbere cyangwa kumeza yifaranga bizabaho, bizavuza ibintu 24C .

Kunyerera

Inzego zitari nke mu bukungu, muri icyo kigo cy'ibihano by'imari, bifuza gutekereza ko muri Werurwe, ruble izakomeza gutsinda imyanya. Icyakora, abasesenguzi bizeza ko hataba hakiri abasesenguzi bamaze kuba mu mpera za Gashyantare, ntibigomba gutegurwa - ntibigomba gutegekwa - gushimangira amadorari bizagira icyerekezo cyoroshye, kandi mu mpera z'ukwezi Ifaranga rizashimangirwa muri "Ceiling" Amafaranga 70 kuri buri gice . Nubwo ibintu bidakunzwe mugihe hatitanze imico yuburusiya "itinda" muri kariya gace 68-69 Rubles ku madorari. Urwibutso rwa Finisperspert Yerekana Isosiyete ishinzwe ishoramari ry'Abongereza Fxpro mu Burusiya Alexander Kuzckevich kandi yemeye kandi imyanzuro "Iteka ryose" izakomeza gukomera buhoro buhoro.

Iteganyagihe ry'amadorari muri Werurwe

Iteganyagihe nk'iryo ry'amadolari ryo ku ya 20 Werurwe 2020, abashyigikiye iterambere ry'abantu bo mu iterambere ryo gukwirakwiza icyorezo cya Coronamenye Hanze y'umutungo uri mu karorero mu bigo by'Uburusiya, byinshi, no guhagararirwa, gihamye. Abasesenguzi baheruka bakunda kubara zahabu n'amafaranga.

Ingingo ya Equilibrium

Ariko, ntabwo abantu bose bemeza ko andi makosa ahangayikishijwe na Rable byanze bikunze, nubwo yateguye gusohoka mu ishoramari, ndetse no kugabanuka kw'ibiciro bya peteroli, bimaze kugengwa no kuva ku nkombe za Gashyantare $ 50 kuri barrel . Mu ishami rishinzwe gusesengura isosiyete "rifungura broker", ryatumye habaho ko ifaranga ry'Uburusiya mu byumweru biri imbere nabyo bizagera ku rwego 66-67 Ku idorari ryabanyamerika, hamwe nimpinga yigihe, byombi nibyiza kandi bibi, muri gahunda yamasomo.

Gusohoka muri corkscrew

N'inyanarimwe, nemeye Minisitiri w'intebe wa BCS na MTS, impuguke zizeye ko gutakaza imishinga y'Abarusiya amaherezo bizashyirwa mu gaciro, bizakuraho izindi ngaruka z'ibibazo. Kurugero, kurwanya inyuma yinyuma yimpande zikaze zinyamanswa zamashami ntoya na ziciriritse, umutungo wa Sberbank ukomezwa kandi ukure mumibare yinzego zizewe nazo zishyigikirwa na leta.

Iteganyagihe ry'amadorari muri Werurwe

Ibisubizo byibyo "kuringaniza" kandi bizaturuka ku masomo ya "gukomera" mu matsiko mabi "ingingo iringaniye", ikurikirwa no kurakara. Nibyo, na Coronamenye, havamo inteko yacyo mu murenge wa Aziya mu Burayi, "kuzunguza pendulum" mu cyerekezo gitandukanye, bituma habaho guca intege imigereka ya Euro kuri Ruble, bigira ingaruka ku mbaraga zo mu Burusiya Ifaranga ryerekeye banki yo muri Amerika. Icyakora, ibi bizasaba igihe - nk'uko by'impuguke ivuga ko kuva mu mezi 3 kugeza ku mezi atandatu.

Rubber ntabwo ikenewe!

Ariko amatora y'impuguke yigenga yakozwe n'ikigo cya Reninitiv avuga ko igihe kinini cyo "kwicara muri gereza" by'Uburusiya Nariko ntigishobora - amasomo azasubira mu kimenyetso muri Rubles 62-63 Ku "Perezida w'icyatsi" mu kwezi kwa mbere. Ibi bizo zorohereza kwibanda gusa ku Imbuga rwa Coronashiyo gusa, ariko kandi inama y'Ubuyobozi ya Banki Nkuru y'Uburusiya, iteganijwe mu cya gatatu cya gatatu cya Werurwe, kizafata icyemezo kijyanye nurufunguzo igipimo cyamabanki mugihembwe cyegereye. Abasesenguzi bizeye ko gutandukana bizakurikizwa, bizagira ingaruka ku isoko ry'inguzanyo z'inguzanyo kandi bizagaruka ku mpapuro z'Uburusiya n'abashoramari.

Iteganyagihe ry'amadorari muri Werurwe

Vladimir Pememukin, usubiza muri "Banki ya SMP" kugirango igenamigambi, ishyigikira uyu mwanya. Impuguke imaze kumenya ko ibintu bimeze mu gihe habaye ibikorwa bidateganijwe bitagomba guhezwa, muri Werurwe bikaba bikaba bashoboye gusubiza mu nama ya Marttov gusa ya Ibihugu bya OPEC, intego yacyo kizaba gihamye kurwego rwibiciro kumavuta. Ubwiyongere bwamagambo ya peteroli buzagira ingaruka nziza ku buryo bwo gukura kw'ifaranga ry'Uburusiya.

Owl Imyandikire: Amakuru agezweho

Ku ya 9 Werurwe 2020, igipimo rusange cyaragabanutse cyane mbere y'ikimenyetso. Abasesenguzi bavuze ko ifaranga ry'Uburusiya ryaguye cyane ku nshuro ya mbere mu myaka 4 ishize. Saa sita, umunsi w'ikiruhuko cy'icyumweru, ku ya 9 Werurwe, igipimo cy'idolari cyamaze kurenga Ikimenyetso cya 74.8 Rable Rables, na Euro - 85. Igiciro cy'amavuta ya Brent cyagabanutseho hafi 30% maze agera ku kimenyetso cya $ 31.38 kuri Barrel, na WTI- $ 27.9 yaguye ku mavuta ya WTI.

Gusenyuka kw'imibare byabaye nyuma y'imishyikirano yatsinzwe y'ibihugu bya OPC, aho abagize umuryango bagerageje gushyikirana n'Uburusiya kugabanya umusaruro wa peteroli.

Abahanga basesenguye uko ibintu bimeze muri iki gihe kandi bizera ko kugwa mu gipimo cyamavumbukirana bizakomeza kubera ko amasezerano yanze amasezerano na OPEC +, icyorezo cya kwandura Coronasis n'ibihano. Ukurikije impuguke, birashoboka kongera ibiciro byimodoka, imyambaro nibikoresho byo murugo.

Umuyobozi wa Guverinoma y'Uburusiya, Mikhail Mishustin avuga ko uko ibintu bimeze gusenyuka kw'amafaranga biri kugenzurwa. Yavuze ko ingamba zifatwa kugira ngo zishishikarize ishushanya, kandi ingengo y'imari yegeranye izemerera igihugu imyaka mike kugira ngo isohoze inshingano zayo.

Soma byinshi