Rabin 2020, kafofin watsa labarai na duniya sun bayyana mahimmancin matsalar COVID-19. Yanzu an jagorantar TAFIYA TAFIYA. Game da yadda ake gudanar da tseren shugaban kasa, wanda yake kaiwa da kuma hasashen yan takara daban-daban sune wadanda ko wasu masana - a cikin 24cm.
'Yan takara
Yayin da ranar zaɓe, da aka shirya ranar 3 ga Nuwamba, 2020, ta hanyar kusanci, gwagwarmaya tsakanin masu maye gurbin Al'arsa na Amurka yana ƙaruwa.Haka kuma, ga kewaye da masu fafatawa ana gudanar da su a dukkan ka'idoji. Akwai zargin na juna. An fitar da wani digiri na daban na Amincewa zuwa ga haske, wanda aka tsara don bincika wasu 'yan takarar don wurin a cikin majalissar da ke cikin majalisar uwa. Bai manta da bangarorin da ke adawa da su ba da labarin sa hannun Rasha da Sin a zabukan Amurka.
Shugabanni
Na dogon lokaci, babban matsayi yana ɗaukar wanda aka gabatar daga Jam'iyyar Amurka, tsohon mataimakin shugaban kasar Joe Biden ne. Da yake magana a farkon tseren zaben don rabu da kai daga halin yanzu na jihar a cikin kyau da rabi dozin.
Zaɓe na shirin da aka gabatar game da shirin dan takarar da aka gabatar don sake dubawa yana da matukar hankali ga bukatar zamani tsarin yanar gizo mai rikicewa daga Rasha da China. Reatage na manufar harajin na yanzu, bisa ga masu nema na yanzu, a cewar masu neman, mummunan cutar da ke tsakiya. Kazalika da warware matsalar ta Amurka "ma'amala ta Nukiliya".
Joe Biden ya kuma yi imanin cewa ba tare da shiga Russion na Russion a cikin zaben Amurka ba, ba zai kashe ba, a matsayin jagorancin kasar ba za su so su bar nasarar da ya samu ba. Af, Biden ne a lokacin da ya sami nasara a zaben zai zama mafi yawan ɗan ƙaramin ɗan Amurka na Amurka - a watan Nuwamba zai zama shekara 78.
A layin na biyu na ƙimar da mai yiwuwa ga masu nasara, shugaban Amurka Donald Trump ya kasance a karo na biyu na bikin Republican, wanda ya sami damar rage yawan babban dan takara a watan Satumba.
Kamar yadda farkon rabin Satumba, fa'ida a cikin Biden ya fi 7%. Kuma a cikin jihohi, bisa ga goyon baya da aka yi, kuma a duk, ra'ayoyin mutane sun kasance a kan magungunan da ke siyasa a yanzu da yawa daga kurakurai na adawa.
Asalin shirin zaben na yanzu game da Donald Trump, dangane da sukar Ba'anar da magoya bayan sa, za a gabatar da Jagoran Democrat Democrat.
A cewar shugaban na yanzu, babban dabarun abokan adawar shi ne sāshi kasar, suna gabatar da shi a matsayin lalata da baya, tare da famshin fata da wariyar launin fata. Ba tare da ba tare da alamu don shiga jam'iyyar Democrats zuwa ga kungiyar da ta zartar da tashin hankali da kuma fitowar rayuwar da ke rayuwa ba ta hanyar motsawa ba.
Har ila yau, a cikin zaben ya yi alkawarin Trump - don sake zama Amurka mai ƙarfi da ba a taba amfani dashi ba, da kuma gabatar da maganin alurar riga daga kamuwa da cutar coronavirus.
Layi na biyu
Kamar kowane manyan manyan ra'ayoyi, zabukan a Amurka ba za su iya yin ba tare da ƙananan 'yan wasan ba. Daga cikin waɗannan haruffa sun haɗa da:- Joe Georgensen shi ne dan takarar shugaban kasa na farko daga wani taron 'yan' yan 'yan rayuwa, ya ba da shawarar sanya takunkumi na tattalin arziki kan wasu kasashe, da kuma taka leda daga kungiyar sojan Amurka daga kasashen waje. Har ila yau, a cikin tsare-tsaren-ƙalubale, dakatar da gina bango tsakanin Amurka da Mexico, gina wanda ya fara ne akan shirin Donald Trump.
- Howee Hawkins - ECOR Littafi Mai Tsarki da mai fafutukar Harkokin Kasuwanci, Inganta ra'ayin Social da Democrat na adawa da 'yan siyasa da Democrat .
A cikin 'yan takara masu zaman kansu, sun kira sunayen abubuwan ban mamaki na haramcin shahararrun baƙar fata, wanda ya sami damar yin rijista don zabe a jihohi 10. Kuma Dan Ratiner, ɗan jarida da mai buga shekaru 81 da mai bugawa, tun kafin zaben 2016 ya ruwaito cewa zai shiga cikin gwagwarmaya shugaban kasa a lokacin da suka gabata.
Dizali
Daga cikin 'yan takarar shugaban kasa, zaben shugaban kasar Amurka a shekarar 2020 sun kasance:
- Daga Democrat: Michael Bloomberg, Bernie Sanders, Pete Battigich.
- Daga 'yan Republican: Mark Sanford, William Weld, Joe Walsh.
- Daga 'yanci: Adam Kokesh, Dan Berman, Korkbers.
- Daga "Green": Jill Stein.
Hasashen masana
Ganin yadda ba a faɗi ba da fadin zabe a Amurka shi ne, sha'awar wannan batun, mutane duka na siyasa, da kuma kowane irin masana kimiyya na siyasa.Don haka, kafin farkon tseren, shi da wuya shine babban mai kalubalen shugaban Amurka, Michael Bowomberg, tsohon magajin garin New York, an yi la'akari da tsohon magajin garin New York, an yi la'akari dashi. Koyaya, ya cancanci fara zaben hukunce-hukuncen, a matsayin dan takarar daga Democrats da sauri ya yi ritaya, ba ya tabbatar da bege da aka sanya masa.
A wancan lokacin, Donald Trump, wanda ya fara da matsayin lagging a baya, a hankali ya rage rata, numfashi babban abu ga rashin lafiya - Joe Bideno - a kai. Kuma barazanar zaben Nuwamba a cikin Republican, snocorp jagoranci snatch daga hannun wani mai jan hankali na dimokraɗiyya. Don haka amsar tambayar da za ta yi nasara kuma daga karshe za ta dauki kujerar shugaban kasa, ba kamar yadda ba a bayyana ba.
Nasara ga Babban Kishan Chmpa Joe Biden a zabukan na yanzu, Allan Likhtman annabci. Masanin tarihin Ba'amurke ya shahara, a kai a kai don samun hasashen matakin tun 1984, sau daya kawai ya yi kuskure a Dutsen Albert na 2000s, dan takarar daga jam'iyyar Demokradiyya.
Bugu da ƙari, Lichtman kansa yayi jayayya cewa lokacin da aka ba da izinin jefa ƙuri'a, wanda ba a yi amfani da kuskure ba, wanda ya yi daji-Jr. Nasara na daji. Da kuma tantance farkon masanin gaskiya ne.
A watan Satumba, lokacin da wani watanni 1.5 kafin ranar zaben da aka zaba, Allan Lichtmann ta tabbatar da nazarin karatuttukan kungiyar tarayyar Reuters) da Rasmussen. A cikin nazarin lissafin da aka gabatar wa kungiyoyi, yawan zaben zaɓe waɗanda aka ba da labarin tsohon mataimakin shugaban duniya.
Koyaya, kwararrun hukumar bincike na MOODEy ba su yarda da Kammalawa Likhtman ba, a farkon shekarar 2019, a shekarar 2019, da Donald Trump, duk da cewa, a shekarar 2019, su ne shugaban tseren shugaban kasa na 2020.
Ya tallafa wa wannan ra'ayi da Helmut Norpot, wani malamin kimiyyar siyasa, wanda hasashen da suka taso a baya suka annabce. Don haka, manajan siyasa a shekarar 2016 sun nuna nasarar donald Trump, kuma sun juya ya zama daidai. Norpot kuma yanzu na tabbata cewa da yiwuwar fiye da 90% na nasara a cikin zabukan da ke gabatowa, shugaban Amurka na yanzu zai sake shan kashi.
A cewar kwararru, wannan ya nuna sakamakon na farko - a matsayin mai mulkin, shi ne ingantacciyar sakamakon wannan jagorancin zaben da ya gabata cewa mafi fili ya fi nuna ainihin jagorancin "siyasa".
Masana JPMorgan Chas & Co masana suna da tabbacin cewa jagorancin Trump ya wuce yiwuwa, tunda sakamakon binciken ba daidai ba ne saboda nuna bambancin kungiyoyin su. Don haka tare da mahimmancin yiwuwar yiwuwar yin zaben, Shugaban na yanzu zai sake fashewa da farko.
Dangane da sauran masu neman kujera a cikin Fadar White House, masanin ra'ayi sunadarai. Masu sharhi suna da tabbacin cewa alamu masu nuna alamun sun samo asali ne daga masu gabatarwa daga "bangarori na uku" da kuma 'yan takara masu zaman kansu za su yi matukar raguwa fiye da yadda aka nuna a shekarar 2016. Kuma saboda ba lallai ba ne a lissafa kan nasarar kowane ɗayansu.
Hasashen na Bookmakes
Don wucewa da irin wannan damar da za a yi amfani da zaben Amurka, takaddun bokayen suna ba da waɗanda suke son yin fare a kan wannan ko sakamakon zaben ba zai yiwu ba. A yanzu haka, saka nasarar da Trump zai yiwu tare da madaidaicin 2.75. A kan babban abokin hamayyarsa, pyyden, mai daidaitawa shine 1.44. Haka kuma, a farkon kwata na shekarar, lamarin ya kasance akasin shugabanni a cikin 52% a Baydi.
Adadin da za ~ en Amurka za su amfana wasu daga cikin wakilai na uku don su tare da "rashin daidaituwa na" ba na gaskiya ba, wato, irin wannan sakamakon batir suna cikin banbancin.