In October 2019, expert projections regarding the dynamics of the dollar did not come true. According to expert opinion, the price for one unit of the US currency was supposed to fluctuate within 64,47-68,17 Ruble, however, in fact, in the graph, the average cost was 64,33. ruble and did not rise above the indicator 65.50.
Next month, many analysts and independent experts "put" to increase the cost of the US currency. The forecast of the dollar member for November 2019 is in the material 24cm.
What experts say
According to Sberbank analysts, within a month, the dollar rate will be slightly different from the current, and at the end of the period sharply "jumped up". This is due to a number of factors, including the sanction policy of the West, which impedes the access of Russian banks to loans in foreign organizations, oil prices and inflation in Russia. Verdict of Sberbank employees - 67,89. Ruble for one unit of the US currency.
However, not all experts agree with this opinion. For example, an independent expert Yaroslav Spruce is confident that the decision of the US Federal Reserve Service will not reduce the key rates against the opinion of the players of the foreign exchange market. The robbery is confident that the dollar attracts investors with its reliability, and therefore they are unlikely that they will no longer invest in foreign currency.
Crash dollar
However, a number of authoritative experts, including SAO Bank, does not exclude other possible scenarios, including the collapse of the American currency. Among the factors that can provoke is an uneven distribution of capital and high cost of the dollar with a substantial public debt and monetary policy of the United States.
The senior vice-president of the Moscow Credit Bank, Eric de Bosh, also calls the situation that develops in the foreign exchange market, is very benevolent for the Russian economy. His verdict - 62.5-63 Ruble per dollar.
"Support ruble may have a growth in consumer activity of Russians. Against the background of reducing inflation and the growth of real disposable income of the population, the growth of the population's spending on the eve of the New Year, "the expert is sure.Also in favor of the course of the Russian currency, the statement by the head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina is played in an interview with CNBC that the organization sees the opportunity to reduce the key bet more resolutely relatively with a moderate pace of previous periods. This speech of the head of the regulator increased demand for OFZ.